In a previous posting I stated my belief that EV's will continue to make up an ever-increasing fraction of the vehicle fleet worldwide. However, the pace at which the transition will happen depends upon many factors. I now believe it will probably take an extended period of time - decades perhaps - to move a significant part of the fleet away from internal combustion engines. I have provided more details in the latest posting at The Black Swan Blog.
Other blogs in this series are available at http://www.theblackswanblog.com/blog1.
Background documents used in the writing of this blog are at http://www.theblackswanblog.com/BSB_Library/index.html