2GRs want to compete to develop market business model innovations for global retail market segments. On a given market segment, the market winner of the market vs. market competition can only be enabled after the EWPC EPAct is enacted. The EWPC EPAct should forbid state regulators from letting utilities win rate cases that involve Intelligent Utility Enterprise and Smart Grid investments, because of the high risks of failure involved.
EWPC Can’t Be a Market Winner
By José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio, Ph.D.
Systemic Consultant: Electricity
First posted in the GMH Blog, on April 29th, 2008.
Copyright © 2008 José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio. All rights reserved. No part of this article may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, without written permission from José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio. This article is an unedited, an uncorrected, draft material of The EWPC Textbook. Please write to javs@ieee.org to contact the author for any kind of engagement.
This is another attempt to have a mature level 3, win/win communications mode. Level 3 win-win communications mode is nothing more than a generative dialogue. I am not my opinion, is a generative dialogue key principle that allows the separation of our opinions from us.
I have invested many posts trying to patiently explain myself as have many other persons that have responded. I have been writing about market architecture and design, and getting technologies responses that have slowly help the truth arise. I changed my opinion to accept a comparison between EWPC and IMEUC, because they are not at all comparable. EWPC is about market structures and rules. EWPC development is about consulting work, not about technology design of market business models.
Based on the above, I can also say that EWPC is not the winner of the market vs. market competition as it was suggested by Geoffrey Moore. In fact, EWPC was not supposed to be in the market vs. market competition in the first place. Once again, EWPC is just a market architecture and design paradigm that emerged to enable open retail competition on the U.S. federal level and at the global level.
In fact, Warren Causey wrote (see his complete comment in the EWPC article Breakthrough Suggestions for Today's Utilities Environments) : “In order to adopt EWPC, public utility commissions would have to let go of their authority to regulate rates at the retail level. This is a political issue. PUCs are political entities. Commissioners pretend to believe they are "serving the public interest" by protecting the public from nasty old utilities.” EWPC should be compared with price controls that regulators have.
That comparison is precisely the reason that I am assuming that a shift from today’s regulated markets (where utilities win rate cases to the regulators) to competitive markets is bound to occur at the global level. The market bridge between supply and demand on any given market segment can filled up by one of many market business models. That is part of the EWPC architecture. As simple as that!
In addition to the Intelligent Utility Enterprise and Smart Grid (IUE/SG) that Warren Causey reports (see please EWPC article Leadership Answers What to do First), another of many potential market bridges (a market switchboard business model) is IMEUC, which needs to have all customers on board. But the only way IMEUC can be adopted is when a regulator makes the same highly risky bet of utilities IUE/SG to select it.
There are also switchboards that don’t need to have all customers on board. In that case what’s needed is a market design that doesn’t allow free riders, as they will be poorly designed market rules if the allow free riders. The resulting market rules are very important for the required transition period to competition, where some customers remain under the old rules modified to eliminate cross-subsidies.
The particular example of how to avoid free riders in a transition, especially to open retail markets at the federal and global levels, was given by Nat Treadway, in his article The Dawn of Electricity Competition: Efficient Prices and Efficient Choices. Treadway explains that, “The design of default service (also called basic or standard service or provider of last resort) was identified as the most significant determinant of the success of retail electricity choice. A poorly designed default service undermines competition. If default service is designed to satisfy all residential consumers’ needs, or if it bundles and spreads risks among all consumers, or if it is priced below market, then it is unlikely that new retail electricity providers will enter the market. With few choices, consumers are left with only the poorly designed default service, and with limited benefit.”
There are many other potential alternative market business models that retailers can develop to bridge supply and demand and which customers have choice to select. I contend that today’s 1GRs will be replaced by 2GRs that operate at the Control Level and the Economic Level to integrate demand to power system planning, operation, and control. That I said is the market breakthrough, not a technology breakthrough. But, the real proof will be left to market vs. market competition, which will be ready to start as soon as the EWPC EPAct suggested in the above mentioned EWPC article Leadership Answers What to do First is enacted.
Under the EWPC EPAct, regulators will no longer be making the large bets on markets business model (Intelligent Utility Enterprise and Smart Grid investments), that like those 75% of projects that end-up in failure in the reengineering revolution.












The salient point I keep running into is that no matter how valid and useful a market model may be, without a political movement to back it, it cannot come into being. The political will to embrace true, open competition does not exist in this country, or much of the rest of the world. In fact the political winds are blowing strongly in the opposite direction.
The current wind direction is toward more draconian regulation to support another political movement, Global Warming, that will result in much more disruption to the process of getting electricity to businesses and individuals. A significant proportion of the political spectrum has decided it would rather try to control everything--badly--than give free markets a chance to work things out.
Best,
Warren
Thank you very much for you opinion, which I understand correctly. Yesterday the Wall Street Journal Americas (the Spanish version) had a piece by Bob Davis, which he introduced by saying that the world is no so flat anymore. Government intervention is growing and growing.
You write about "support another political movement, Global Warming, that will result in much more disruption to the process of getting electricity to businesses and individuals." The GW aim need to introduce a whole set of disruptive technologies (mostly existing innovations waiting to get integrated into power system palnning, operation, and control) that will change the status quo, with a balanced mix of a controlled market and an open market.
The EWPC market architecture and design paradigm is about making a breakthrough only enabled by eliminating the legislative and regulatory uncertainty of the electricity (and gas and water) industry. Governments' intervention to eliminate the uncertainty as soon as possible to avoid the extreme increase in value destruction does not mean that governments lose control. Governments keep their control with prudential regulations.
The old paradigm had central station generation at center stage. The new paradigm has the integrated transportation utility controlled market at center stage. The EWPC ultraquality imperative of the controlled transportation market is the key to enable the introduction of innovations in uncertain distributed generation as fast as possible in the open market.
You also wrote earlier that "Commissioners pretend to believe they are 'serving the public interest' by protecting the public from nasty old utilities." Under EWPC, the prudential regulations (on the open market) I mentioned above will be a much better protection and service to the public interest, than letting utilities win rate cases that involve incredible bets on Intelligent Utility Enterprise and Smart Grid investments.
Under EWPC, transmission and distribution expansion planning will be done at least cost, taking also into consideration all forecasted costs (investment, operation, maintenace, outage) of generators, retailers and customers. Maximum social welfare will be the result of large coordination saving done by 2GRs as they integrate demand to power system planning, operation and control.
Goverments everywhere will be facing a very uncertain world. So why not do it by introducing markets in electricity, gas, and water, that eliminate at least the legislative and regulatory market uncertainty.