While many people are dreaming about the joys of turkey, mashed potatoes and football, I am thinking about smart grid funding and next steps—with a side of gravy, of course. The industry was excited to finally see DOE’s announcements for smart grid demonstration projects yesterday and I was happy to see that a broad range of projects that went beyond the meter—and the utility—won awards. Now that funding is out, the big questions for me are: What’s next? What about all of those projects that didn’t get selected? Will they still go on?
When the federal government threw the smart grid funding chunk into the recovery act, it really sent the industry into limbo. Utilities that were planning to move forward with projects held off to see if they could get some of the money. Utilities that were considering some projects further off in the future were now pushing up their timelines. But, in general, the industry stalled. Now, the money is out there and some utilities can move on with their projects, but where does it leave the projects that were left in the federal funding dust?
Will the smart grid grants be a Cash for Clunkers-esque scenario? As in, when you offer an incredible discount, people are going to take advantage of it, but without that incentive there really isn’t a reason to move. The federal government has a longer-term plan to get smart grid projects going, demonstrate the benefits and (hopefully) spur on other smart initiatives, but smart grid-type pilots have been going on for awhile and utilities haven’t really gone bonkers about them until government money started flowing.
Or is it really just an Edison and his phonograph model? Where Edison didn’t really invent the phonograph for playing music, but upon getting the technology, people began to use the phonograph for reasons beyond the original intention. Perhaps when these smart technologies are put out there on a larger scale, utility companies and energy consumers will discover the new benefits that had been elusive until now. The smart grid funding announcements may seem like the exciting part, but I am excited to watch how the winning—and particularly non-winning—projects unfold.
Nicely stated blog. What you have described is very typical of utility industry behavior towards any new project that involves infrastructure. Utilities have very few choices to fund them - either they get funded by government handouts or by consumer rate increases to all customers that must first be approved by regulators. The latter option is always less desirable because remember regulators are mandated to keep rate increases to an absolute minimum unless heavily justified. An example of heavily justified rate increases would be to fund new generation being brought on line, etc.
Most utilities can find limited funds internally to pay for small pilot projects, but rarely are pilot projects implemented on a wide scale throughout their grid unless mandated by regulators or governments with the means to fund it. In the recent cases with Smart Grid project handouts from Washington, getting potential grants from government is always going to be sought after first.
As for the projects not funded lately by Washington's Smart Grid handouts, you can bet some will die and some will go ahead, depending the size of a utility's pockets. For utility companies with no internal funding, the grants may be their only hope of launching the projects.
The key thing to watch down the road will be how many pilot projects including the government funded ones end up getting deployed on a wide scale. Unless the public is prepared to swallow large unpalatable rate increase, or unless Washington is a bottom-less pit for more handouts, I wouldn't count on the majority of them making it.